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StandardAero, Inc. (SARO)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered strong top-line and margin expansion: revenue rose 21.8% year over year to $1.41B and adjusted EBITDA increased 37.2% to $186.2M; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 150 bps to 13.2% .
  • Reported GAAP net loss of $14.1M (EPS -$0.04) was driven by IPO/refi, stock comp catch-up, LEAP/CFM ramp and integration costs; CFO aggregated ~$29M refi, ~$26M IPO-related, and ~$18M LEAP/CFM/ATI expenses impacting the quarter .
  • 2025 guidance initiated: revenue $5.80–$5.95B, adjusted EBITDA $770–$790M, FCF $155–$175M, with ES margin ~13% and CRS ~27%; end-market growth assumptions remain robust (commercial aero low double-digit to mid-teens) .
  • Balance sheet transformed post-IPO/refi: net debt/EBITDA at 3.1x and >$130M annual cash interest savings expected, a key earnings and cash flow catalyst for 2025 .
  • Consensus estimates (S&P Global) were unavailable at time of request; beat/miss versus Street cannot be assessed for Q4 2024 (see Estimates Context).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Commercial aerospace strength: commercial aero revenue +33% YoY in Q4; ES margins supported by favorable mix (higher labor content, lower pass-through material), accelerating EBITDA growth .
    • Strategic execution milestones: LEAP test cell correlations (1A/1B), first PRSV induction, nine LEAP customer agreements totaling >$1B future revenue; CAAC LEAP authorization broadens addressable market .
    • Deleveraging and refinancing: IPO and new facilities cut interest rates by 125–150 bps, positioning for >$130M annual interest savings and multi-notch ratings upgrades, improving 2025 cash generation .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP earnings burdened by non-recurring costs and legacy leverage: Q4 net loss -$14.1M despite strong operating performance; IPO/refi and stock comp catch-up weighed on reported EPS .
    • Military/helicopter headwinds: AE1107 V-22 Osprey grounding earlier in 2024 reduced volumes, partially offset by ATI acquisition contribution; military/helicopter up 9% in Q4 off ATI but still mixed .
    • LEAP/CFM ramp dilutes ES margins near term: CFO flagged low single-digit margins on ramp programs as a temporary offset to otherwise upward ES margin momentum in 2025 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,157.8 $1,244.6 $1,409.6
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(4.6) $16.4 $(14.1)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.02) $0.06 $(0.04)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$135.7 $168.4 $186.2
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)11.7% 13.5% 13.2%
Net Income Margin (%)(0.4)% 1.3% (1.0)%

Segment performance (quarterly):

Segment MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Engine Services Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.0268 $1.0903 $1.2456
ES Segment Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$131.2 $147.4 $159.8
ES Segment Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)12.8% 13.5% 12.8%
Component Repair Services Revenue ($USD Millions)$131.0 $154.3 $164.0
CRS Segment Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$30.4 $40.8 $43.7
CRS Segment Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)23.2% 26.4% 26.6%

KPIs and non-GAAP bridges:

KPIQ4 2024FY 2024FY 2023
Business transformation costs (LEAP/CFM) ($USD Millions)$9.6 $43.2 $11.4
Stock compensation ($USD Millions)$17.4 $17.4
Refinancing costs ($USD Millions)$17.3 $23.7 $19.9
Loss on debt extinguishment ($USD Millions)$11.7 $15.3 $6.2
Net Debt ($USD Billions)$2.167 $3.201
LTM Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Billions)$0.6905 $0.5611
Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA (x)3.1x 5.7x
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$57.1 (Q4) (45) (FY)

Note: CFO also described IPO/refinancing and LEAP/CFM/ATI integration/start-up items that burdened GAAP results and cash flows in Q4/FY (aggregated ~$29M refi, ~$26–27M IPO, ~$18M program/ATI costs) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025None (initiating) $5.80–$5.95 Initiated
Engine Services Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025None$5.085–$5.215 Initiated
Component Repair Services Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025None$0.715–$0.735 Initiated
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025None$770–$790 Initiated
ES Segment Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)FY 2025None~13% Initiated
CRS Segment Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)FY 2025None~27% Initiated
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)FY 2025None$155–$175 Initiated
Major Platform Investments Included ($USD Millions)FY 2025$90 Disclosed
End Market AssumptionsFY 2025Commercial: Low DD–Mid-teens; Military/Helicopter: High SD; Biz Av: High SD Disclosed

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Prev-2)Q3 2024 (Prev-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
LEAP program rampUnavailable in public filingsTest cell correlations; first engine inducted; Avianca 5-year; pipeline expanding First PRSV induction; 9 customers >$1B; CAAC authorization; 2025 industrialization completion Accelerating
CFM56 capacity & turn timesUnavailableDFW Center of Excellence ribbon-cut; increased capacity DFW opened; turn times trending back to 2019 aided by USM and repair dev Improving
CF34 license expansionUnavailableNoted program importance; military contracts New 10-year GE agreement; $50M investment, >$10M annual EBITDA from 2025 Positive
Supply chain/USM/repair devUnavailableMargin tailwind from lighter work scopes; in-sourcing rising USM and repair dev mitigate bottlenecks; turn times down Structural improvement
Tariffs/macro sensitivityUnavailableOutlook: sequential Q4 improvement; no quarterly guidance Historically minimal impact; USMCA duty-free; prepared for scenarios Monitored; low risk
Backlog/contractsUnavailable77% revenue under LTAs LTAs ~77%; deep backlog on CF34/military; LEAP backlog growing Stable/expanding

Note: Q2 2024 transcript not available in SEC document set; “Unavailable” indicates lack of public source.

Management Commentary

  • “We achieved significant revenue and earnings growth for the Fourth Quarter 2024 driven by demand across all our end markets and strong execution... commercial aerospace market growing 33% during the Fourth Quarter 2024... Adjusted EBITDA growth... favorable mix and productivity improvements.” — Russell Ford, CEO .
  • “We industrialized our state-of-the-art LEAP MRO line... completed correlation for LEAP-1A after LEAP-1B... inducted our first LEAP engines... signed agreements with 9 customers representing future revenue of over $1 billion... received CAAC authorization.” — Russell Ford .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA increased to $186.2 million... net loss in Q4 of $14.1 million primarily due to nonrecurring costs: ~$29M refinancing, ~$26M IPO-related (stock comp catch-up), ~$18M LEAP/CFM/ATI costs.” — Daniel Satterfield, CFO .
  • “Post-IPO refinancing... new term loan (SOFR+2.25) and revolver (SOFR+2.00)... expect >$130 million annual interest savings... delevered to 3.1x, multi-notch upgrades.” — Daniel Satterfield .

Q&A Highlights

  • Commercial aero demand drivers: CF34, turboprops, CFM56 largest growth in 2025; LEAP early but pipeline strong; CRS demand robust alongside ES .
  • Working capital and FCF: WC ~25% of revenue structurally; incremental build front-loaded for LEAP/CFM56; free cash conversion improves significantly in 2025 with lower interest and fewer one-time outflows .
  • LEAP contracts and pipeline: Nine customers signed; airlines locking long-term slots; maintenance moving earlier with lighter CTEM events; global reach beyond North America .
  • CFM56 turnaround times: Declining toward 2019 norms; enhanced by USM and repair development to bypass sole-sourced bottlenecks .
  • Margin dilution: 2025 headwinds mainly from low margins on ramping LEAP/CFM56; excluding these, ES margins show basis-point growth .
  • Tariffs: Historically minimal due to USMCA duty-free treatment; proactive monitoring and compliance readiness .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q4 2024 were unavailable at the time of request due to data access limits; as a result, beat/miss versus Street cannot be determined for revenue/EPS/EBITDA.
  • Given the strong revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth and the GAAP loss driven by discrete items, we would expect analysts to focus on non-GAAP margins and 2025 guidance; however, specific consensus revisions cannot be quantified here.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue growth and margin expansion momentum: Q4 revenue +21.8% YoY to $1.41B; adjusted EBITDA +37.2% to $186.2M with 150 bps margin expansion, driven by favorable mix and CRS accretion .
  • Near-term GAAP noise vs. improving run-rate: Q4 GAAP loss reflects IPO/refi, stock comp catch-up and LEAP/CFM ramp; >$130M annual interest savings and lower one-time cash outflows set the stage for 2025 cash and earnings improvement .
  • Growth vectors validated: CFM56 to be largest 2025 growth platform; LEAP ramp de-risked by nine long-term customer agreements and CAAC authorization; CF34 license expansion adds >$10M incremental EBITDA annually from 2025 .
  • Balance sheet de-risking: Net debt/EBITDA down to 3.1x and multi-notch ratings upgrades enhance strategic flexibility for organic builds and accretive CRS-led M&A .
  • CRS in-sourcing strategy drives enterprise margins: Higher CRS margins (26.6% Q4) and repair in-sourcing both lift consolidated profitability and reduce supply chain friction .
  • End-market backdrop remains robust: Commercial aero growth strong (Q4 +33%); business aviation steady; military recovering from V-22 grounding with ATI providing complementary exposure .
  • Trading implications: Focus on execution across LEAP/CFM56 ramps and FCF inflection in 2025; updates on contract wins and turn times are likely catalysts; monitor tariff policy developments though impact historically limited .